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Post by sutureself on Feb 22, 2020 16:25:03 GMT -5
Proof my dumb brain never learns: I saw Dallas was resting Porzingis and Doncic today and thought, "ooh, better check the line! If I were still betting I'd definitely bet against Dallas." They're playing Atlanta. A healthy Hawks team against Mavs' backups. What could go wrong?
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Post by scully19 on Feb 22, 2020 21:03:05 GMT -5
I'm betting over the total score on basically any game that the Wolves play in, their offense is good enough to keep them close while losing and their defense is the worst in the league likely. Scores are just going nuts for them.
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Post by sutureself on Mar 12, 2020 10:52:01 GMT -5
I know we have more important things to worry about now that we're facing a global pandemic...but does this mean Sportsinteraction will void my terrible Hawks over 34.5 wins bet? Even my Knicks under 27.5 wins bet wasn't looking as bulletproof as I'd like.
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Post by scully19 on Mar 12, 2020 12:23:29 GMT -5
I was wondering the same thing, seems a lot of these would have to be voided which to me would be fine, I look right now like I'm going to break even on the year long over/under which puts me borderline to win or lose, I'd happily take the draw now and get my money back.
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Post by sutureself on Apr 25, 2020 14:25:47 GMT -5
NFL draft gave me something to bet on again finally. I took the money from my voided NBA season-long bets and bet that Tua would be the 2nd QB drafted. Won that. Took the profit from that bet and flipped it to Jalen Hurts being drafted in the 3rd round. Stupid Eagles drafted him at the end of the 2nd and have been widely roasted for it. So I didn't win any money on the NFL draft but didn't lose either, and got a nice little dopamine rush at least from winning one of the bets.
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Post by scully19 on Jul 8, 2020 10:36:57 GMT -5
So as i mentioned in the other thread, betting the under seems to be a popular option and makes a lot of sense. For a fun bet, i went in and picked every game in the first 2 days and bet the under on all of them in a huge combined parlay, which in turn pays out 176 to 1! Hilariously unlikely odds I'm sure, but i put 10 bucks on it and it'll pay out 1760 if it wins lol.
I'll probably take a few select games within that now too in order to try to go smaller and smarter on it.
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Post by sutureself on Jul 20, 2020 0:03:46 GMT -5
I put down a pretty big bet (well big for me) on the Nets getting under 2.5 wins in the 8 game seeding round, at 1.8. There's a few others I want to bet like Kings under 3.5 and Pelicans under 5.5, but they both have pretty lame odds around 1.4 so I might not bother.
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Post by scully19 on Jul 20, 2020 8:38:26 GMT -5
Didn't know these game bet options had come up, thanks for the heads up. I love the Nets bet as well and will follow suit and hit it hard. Couple others i wanted to check out. Wizards at 1.5 and I'm considering the under with them playing the Nets and the Suns in there. Pacers - 4.5, they play Wizards Magic and Suns, and even assuming 3 wins which isn't safe there they still might not get to 4.5, especially without Oladipo. I also took Raptors under 4.5, always painful to go under on the Raps but they not only have an extremely hard schedule but they also have a 3 game lead on the Celtics so they could secure the position early and take it easy the last few games. I have them going .500 which considering the competition is pretty good still.
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Post by sutureself on Jul 21, 2020 17:31:31 GMT -5
I put some money on Nuggets finishing under 3.5, because it had the highest payout at 2.95 to 1. Jokic always seems to start slow and is coming off positive covid test, plus they had to shut down their facility due to multiple positive tests. They have a hard schedule. I think they'll go 3-5 so it's not a super easy bet to make but I think the payout is worth it. Currently projecting: wins over Spurs and Blazers for sure, probably win one out of Thunder or Jazz. Losses to Thunder or Jazz, Heat, Lakers, Clippers, Raptors. Pelicans under 5.5 still seems like an insanely easy gimme bet but I haven't done it because the payout is so low and I'm not sure if I want to tie up a big enough sum to make it worth it.
I wish it would let me do a Nuggets under/Pelicans under parlay.
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Post by scully19 on Jul 21, 2020 18:00:25 GMT -5
I put some money on Nuggets finishing under 3.5, because it had the highest payout at 2.95 to 1. Jokic always seems to start slow and is coming off positive covid test, plus they had to shut down their facility due to multiple positive tests. They have a hard schedule. I think they'll go 3-5 so it's not a super easy bet to make but I think the payout is worth it. Currently projecting: wins over Spurs and Blazers for sure, probably win one out of Thunder or Jazz. Losses to Thunder or Jazz, Heat, Lakers, Clippers, Raptors. Pelicans under 5.5 still seems like an insanely easy gimme bet but I haven't done it because the payout is so low and I'm not sure if I want to tie up a big enough sum to make it worth it.
I wish it would let me do a Nuggets under/Pelicans under parlay.
I ended up going Nuggets under as well, further to what you said i heard on the Lowe post that someone in their camp let it slip that most of their team isn't even there yet because of that breakout. I'm less sure about the Pelicans, my only reason right now I'm leaning towards that under is because Zion had to leave and no one knows when he's coming back yet...but he got jacked in his time off, lost 25lbs of fat in the process of gaining 10 in muscle. I'm not feeling too good about betting against Zion.
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Post by scully19 on Jul 22, 2020 22:25:46 GMT -5
I'm going to bet every single Nets game on the max alternative spread I've decided. I parlayed today with the heat game that ended in a push and screwed me but at least they didn't lose. Nets are pure garbage and there's money to be made on them.
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Post by sutureself on Jul 23, 2020 14:58:43 GMT -5
I didn't even realize the scrimmage games had started or that you could bet on them; I was so focused on the July 31st date in my head that I forgot there was stuff leading up to it. I agree, will also start betting alternative spread on most Nets games as well
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Post by scully19 on Jul 23, 2020 15:01:40 GMT -5
They only had a couple up yesterday, seems like the scrimmages won't so be on offer but I'm going to ask them to post them and then they usually do. I'll only go out of my way to ask for the Nets games.
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Post by scully19 on Jul 23, 2020 23:13:59 GMT -5
Interesting point I never thought of, Terrance Ross pointed out that with a static black background with no moving colors or fans that the shooter with have much better depth perception... Maybe the idea here actually is that they all hit the over...hmmm.
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Post by sutureself on Jul 23, 2020 23:52:52 GMT -5
Interesting point I never thought of, Terrance Ross pointed out that with a static black background with no moving colors or fans that the shooter with have much better depth perception... Maybe the idea here actually is that they all hit the over...hmmm. Yeah hard to say honestly. I listened to an interview with Kenny the Jet Smith and when he was asked about over/unders, the only thing he would offer is that streaky players who tend to fold under the pressure over a long season, might surprise and do better because there's no crowd to impact their performance and get them too psyched up one way or another. I'm not sure though looking at the rosters who I'd put in that category. Terrance Ross himself? Or maybe I'm just remembering Ross as the inconsistent young player when he was on the Raptors, and not taking into account how he's done with the Magic.
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Post by scully19 on Jul 25, 2020 15:22:36 GMT -5
Quick look at the scrimmage scores so far show very few games over 100 for a team never mind both. The over under seems to continue to be 220 range. I'm going to keep grabbing unders.
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Post by sutureself on Jul 29, 2020 23:01:35 GMT -5
May have made a dumb mistake. Anthony Davis missed practice yesterday with an eye injury and reporters said he might not play Thursday against the Clippers. So I immediately took Clippers moneyline at 2.6. But today they said Davis will just play with goggles, and announced Montrezl Harrell is out for the Clippers (plus Lou Williams was already out). I'm trying to decide if I should cash out now and just accept a bit of a loss or let it ride and hope the Clips still win.
I'm leaning towards letting it ride in case Mr. Load Management is feeling frisky after a few months off, and we get playoff Kawhi rather than regular season Kawhi.
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Post by Springer on Jul 30, 2020 0:32:49 GMT -5
Let it ride, my friend, let it ride.
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Post by scully19 on Jul 30, 2020 8:24:57 GMT -5
I would say let it ride too. Davis might be a bit off with the goggles and the Clippers have depth. Lou Will i think is overrated in that he is poor on defense that his offense becomes less valuable and in turn they have better offensive players now too that he is a little redundant. Maybe the other Morris twin can help make up for the loss of Harrell.
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Post by sutureself on Jul 31, 2020 21:16:11 GMT -5
RIP all my under bets. Lost the Clippers bet but at least it was close. I think I'll make it up from already winning Orlando -9 alternate spread over Brooklyn; I bet Spurs moneyline against Kings and that has a chance too at 2.5, not sure why the Kings are so heavily favoured when I would've just called it a 50/50. Took a small live bet on Mavs moneyline vs. Rockets when they were down 5 points, pays out at 2.45 and that's another game I'd call a complete 50/50 toss up.
Edit: like a lot of people I took unders thinking players would be rusty. Some teams have looked rusty and aren't shooting great, but the defensive rotations are also a step slow leading to a ton of fouls and teams getting into the penalty super early for high scoring games.
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Post by sutureself on Jul 31, 2020 22:03:38 GMT -5
Kind of funny...I took a live bet when Mavs were down in the 1st quarter, they went on a run, site let me cash out early in the 3rd quarter for double my money (vs. the 2.5 I'd make if I let the moneyline bet stand, so I took the cash out). I'm tempted now to put that money back into a moneyline bet on the Rockets now. I feel like I'm starting to galaxy brain myself.
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Post by sutureself on Jul 31, 2020 23:20:28 GMT -5
HA. Can't believe that worked. Bet Mavs when they were down, cashed out at a profit when they were ahead, put the winnings on Rockets moneyline when they were down, and by the end of it won 7x my original bet.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 1, 2020 3:34:26 GMT -5
Well remember discussing all under or all overs? Well it was overs and I won a 6 parlay over bet, 5 bucks made 250.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 1, 2020 3:46:50 GMT -5
HA. Can't believe that worked. Bet Mavs when they were down, cashed out at a profit when they were ahead, put the winnings on Rockets moneyline when they were down, and by the end of it won 7x my original bet. that's a hell of a roll. NBA is funny, if you watch live big swings happen all the time and it's a good idea to bet on someone down double digits because it barely matters.
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Post by sutureself on Aug 1, 2020 14:33:11 GMT -5
Well remember discussing all under or all overs? Well it was overs and I won a 6 parlay over bet, 5 bucks made 250. Wow! That’s awesome. Congrats. I’ve never succeeded on a parlay with more than 3
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Post by sutureself on Aug 1, 2020 17:35:27 GMT -5
Still wish I had taken the Pelicans under 5.5 wins even though the payout sucked. It's kind of weird seeing a team start four top-3 picks (Ball, Ingram, Zion, and Favors) and still look so overmatched. (I'm fully expecting to look back on this post in 2 hours and wonder how the Pelicans managed to come back and beat the Clippers)
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Post by scully19 on Aug 1, 2020 20:34:32 GMT -5
Well looks like the over fun is over, all the numbers have just jumped up big time, what was 215 to 220 range average is now 235 to 240.
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Post by sutureself on Aug 1, 2020 23:04:21 GMT -5
Well looks like the over fun is over, all the numbers have just jumped up big time, what was 215 to 220 range average is now 235 to 240. I cashed in on the under for Clips/Pels, under 233. Also bet Raptors first to 60 points at halftime and won that. After losing that Clippers/Lakers bet I think I've won my last 6 in a row. If they keep putting over/under in the 235 to 240 range I'm taking unders all day unless it's no-D track meet teams like the Rockets or the Suns. Edit: just had a look at tomorrow's games. I know I said I wouldn't bet the under for the rockets. But you pretty much have to bet under 243.5 for Bucks/Rockets, don't you? People were writing think pieces in February about how Bucks might have one of the best defenses of all time, I'm struggling to picture them letting Rockets put up 120 on them.
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Post by sutureself on Aug 3, 2020 21:51:09 GMT -5
Man, that hurts. Would've won a couple hundred on a 4 part parlay if the Spurs won moneyline against the 76ers, lost by 2 when they were up by 4 with a minute left.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 4, 2020 9:47:13 GMT -5
I had Spurs for money line too but not for nearly as much.
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