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Post by scully19 on Aug 11, 2020 17:37:43 GMT -5
I'm losing this one...
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Post by scully19 on Aug 11, 2020 17:54:50 GMT -5
End with 13. I had 2 alternative bets at 13 and 2 (1 in the parlay) at 12.5 so I win those 2. Incredible luck, I'll take it.
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Post by sutureself on Aug 11, 2020 20:33:21 GMT -5
Just went Wizards moneyline again because I'm a glutton for punishment. Edit: stupid Wizards. I made a small moneyline bet, when it was clear they weren't going to win I bet pretty large on Wizards +12.5 thinking they'd at least keep it close. Lost by 13. I need to stop betting on Wizards and Nets games entirely.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 12, 2020 8:37:37 GMT -5
haha, i did a small moneyline thinking bucks on back to back might just avoid playing everyone, but they played enough to still kill them. Didn't double down though.
I did bet on Portland and Memphis getting 8th so having Portland there is now putting me in a strong position. Lillard going nuts.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 12, 2020 9:08:41 GMT -5
Early planning right now, but people are giving Phoenix WAY too much credit for going undefeated in the bubble considering they are continuously getting teams resting players against them, i guarantee next year's over/under is going to be too high. People often have overreactions on end of season play, either a strong finish to the year, or getting swept out of the playoffs type thing. Phoenix will be the next overreaction.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 12, 2020 9:13:04 GMT -5
Sounds like Lowry and FVV are back today, and with Philly on a back to back we'll see what they do with other guys and if Embiid will play but i'll guess not. Also i imagine Siakam and Gasol will rest but we'll see.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 12, 2020 9:20:04 GMT -5
Also, all of the teams fighting for a spot in the West play-in tourny all play on thursday, AND portland plays last, so seems like every team will have to try to win and not know their fate until the last game.
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Post by sutureself on Aug 12, 2020 12:31:35 GMT -5
Did small bets full alternate spread on Rockets/Raptors/Clippers, and then a parlay on all three. I'm tired of chasing underdogs, I'm going all chalk plays today. Even if those teams rest some of their starters I'm hoping their depth wins out.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 12, 2020 12:53:10 GMT -5
It seems like Indiana might be resting everyone so Houston can be a great bet, still need a couple of the questionables to confirm.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 12, 2020 15:10:00 GMT -5
I took a 4 game parlay to take a shot at some of these games today, but i don't like the look of it in general. A bunch of teams with little to play for and varrying levels of resting that will just be a bunch of guessing. 5 bucks on a parlay makes it interesting with a huge payout potential, but i'm going to stay away from individual ones.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 12, 2020 17:22:31 GMT -5
Went for the moneyline (2.95) for Philly, while i don't believe in them very much they do have their whole team playing and have at least a little something to play for. Raps are missing OG and Serge and probably going to limit starter minutes.
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Post by sutureself on Aug 12, 2020 17:43:54 GMT -5
Pacers rested almost everyone except Oladipo, who went 7 for 26 with 5 turnovers. Harden scored a super efficient 45 points on 13 of 21, and had 17 rebounds + 9 assists. Of course the Rockets lost, why would I ever think otherwise?
I was a little sad the Raptors weren't able to re-sign P.J. Tucker a couple years ago, but he looks straight up washed and overmatched as a small ball C lately. The past 7 games since the restart he's shooting 12/47, around 25%. He isn't getting to the line and he's only made 1 out of 8 shots inside the 3 point line. I know the idea behind playing a small guy is that he draws big traditional Cs out of the paint to guard him, but it's pretty one-dimensional if he isn't hitting his shots and isn't a threat to drive or convert inside. Can you imagine how good a guy like Ibaka would look in the Rockets system?
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Post by scully19 on Aug 13, 2020 9:02:52 GMT -5
Celtics are in full rest mode, resting literally their entire starting lineup AND Marcus Smart. Can the Wizards win a game? Just checked and no line available for this game or any frankly outside of Portland which I'm obviously smashing at the line being only 8. Extended to 10.5 for the bigger payout.
EDIT: Already bet it but on second thought might be premature, if all 3 teams lose then they clinch 8 but will lose 8th otherwise something that carries a huge advantage they will surely try to win. I thought it was only needing 2 to lose or maybe just Grizz so double checked. Seems extremely unlikely that it will play out that way so I feel pretty fine that regardless Portland will be playing hard to win.
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Post by sutureself on Aug 13, 2020 10:07:41 GMT -5
Celtics are in full rest mode, resting literally their entire starting lineup AND Marcus Smart. Can the Wizards win a game? Just checked and no line available for this game or any frankly outside of Portland which I'm obviously smashing at the line being only 8. Extended to 10.5 for the bigger payout. EDIT: Already bet it but on second thought might be premature, if all 3 teams lose then they clinch 8 but will lose 8th otherwise something that carries a huge advantage they will surely try to win. I thought it was only needing 2 to lose or maybe just Grizz so double checked. Seems extremely unlikely that it will play out that way so I feel pretty fine that regardless Portland will be playing hard to win. Line for Wizards/Celtics is -2 for Wizards. I don’t know if I can personally bet that with confidence after losing multiple bets on Wizards because their current starters can’t hang with other team’s backups
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Post by scully19 on Aug 13, 2020 10:51:40 GMT -5
Yep I am avoiding too, realistically this now looks like a straight battle as the scrubs are probably evenly matched. If the line was a lot bigger i would take a chance on moneyline, but this isn't worth the risk.
Avoiding Lakers/Kings too, everyone missing a lot of people and not much to play for on either side. AD likely not playing, maybe LeBron does but then the Lakers deeper bench is probably worse than what the Kings will be playing. Too much of a toss up. Kings moneyline does pay 2.66 right now though.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 13, 2020 12:09:16 GMT -5
AB and Kuzma not playing, LeBron and Green are playing but it has already been decided that they will not play at all in the second half. If Kings get down early might be a good play to take a shot on them for the win or to lose by as little an option as possible at the time because it seems likely they come back in the second half.
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Post by sutureself on Aug 13, 2020 13:38:44 GMT -5
AB and Kuzma not playing, LeBron and Green are playing but it has already been decided that they will not play at all in the second half. If Kings get down early might be a good play to take a shot on them for the win or to lose by as little an option as possible at the time because it seems likely they come back in the second half. Thanks for tip. Put a small moneyline bet when the kings were down 10 and now they’re up 10 at half. Wish I went all-in now but trying to be a bit more cautious and just make small bets
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Post by scully19 on Aug 13, 2020 13:59:33 GMT -5
Unfortunately i missed that timing because of work meeting but took the early moneyline on them so still looking good. What numbers did you get for win?
I as well am doing a little smaller now too, especially with the added randomness this seems to bring right now.
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Post by sutureself on Aug 13, 2020 14:02:52 GMT -5
Unfortunately i missed that timing because of work meeting but took the early moneyline on them so still looking good. What numbers did you get for win? I as well am doing a little smaller now too, especially with the added randomness this seems to bring right now. It was 3.5 moneyline when I took the bet
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Post by scully19 on Aug 13, 2020 14:21:27 GMT -5
I'm going for it a bit today. There has to be a big push for these only teams playing to win and every other team, even if playing their guys early, is playing in the playoffs too so they have reason to rest even more and likely are going to slow down in the second half.
Each of the 4 i put an alternate bet on, plus i parlayed all 4 into moneyline, pointspread win as well as alternative bet. I'm not super confident in every game but i think in the end it should do well enough.
Utah without Gobert and Conley. Dalas without Porzingis. George Hill, Illyasova and Giannis are out. Nets are the Nets.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 13, 2020 15:53:15 GMT -5
Big mistake noticed, if the Grizz and Suns win their games the Spurs will be eliminated before every starting their game and wil likely change the outcome of that game. Right now the moneyline is actually rather large on Utah so something to keep an eye on.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 13, 2020 17:24:56 GMT -5
Grizzlies and Suns will win, so spurs are eliminated. I put some money on the Utah moneyline in case they phone it in.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 13, 2020 20:01:17 GMT -5
Holy shit. I didn't want to lose the parlay so after I saw my I mistake I just quickly took the max suns and Grizz could win and picked Utah moneyline to win asking with Portland. I've now hit all up to Portland, that 1 bet of 10 bucks could now net me 431 if Portland wins by 12.5.
Beyond that I had individual bets for Portland going too, so all in all of Portland wins by 13.5 I will win about 530. If they don't then the Nets have single handedly ruined my bubble experience... Can't believe it comes down to the Nets...
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Post by scully19 on Aug 13, 2020 21:56:00 GMT -5
Fucking hell, everything was going fine, Portland up 9 with plenty of time to go, now I look again and then Nets are up 6. Wtf. Piss off Brooklyn. Don't do this to me!
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Post by scully19 on Aug 13, 2020 22:11:52 GMT -5
Unbelievable not only are the Blazers seemingly in higher trouble to not win by that much, they're in trouble to even win this game. Fucking Nets. Toronto better demolish them
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Post by scully19 on Aug 13, 2020 22:38:54 GMT -5
Blazers almost lost at the buzzer to the Nets to get eliminated. They are fucking horrible defensively, the Nets didn't need to try to get open shots and easy baskets at the net. Brutal. Blazers are going to get slaughtered in The playoffs.
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Post by sutureself on Aug 14, 2020 14:03:48 GMT -5
It's going to be weird if Kyrie and KD veto Jacques Vaughn as coach next year, because so far he's done the most impressive job in the bubble of taking a bad roster and making them go all out, play D, and hit some shats. Hate the Nets for costing me so much money but I'm impressed, there's definitely no quit in that team right now.
I hope Raptors can close out Nuggets today so I can at least make some money back on my Nuggets under 3.5 wins bet. Won't make up for betting so much on Nets under 2.5 and Nets 8th seed, but it'll help.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 14, 2020 22:30:26 GMT -5
Early series values are up and a few questions things I see in curious if I'm missing something.
Utah (2.7) vs Denver (1.46) Nets (16) vs Toronto (1.01) 76ers (4.6) vs Celtics (1.2) Mavs (4.25) vs Clippers (1.22) Magic (16) vs Bucks (1.01) Pacers (3.4) vs Miami (1.32) Rockets (1.48) vs OKC (2.65)
Utah at 2.7 and OKC at 2.65 both seem really high to me. Also I find Clippers to be higher than expected though obviously not a huge number. Thinking of maybe putting something on those.
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Post by scully19 on Aug 17, 2020 9:59:30 GMT -5
Got any picks in for any of the above?
I hit up Utah and OKC, not necessarily because i think they will win but because those odds are just way too high IMO. a 4-5 matchup especially that just saw the favorite lose their second best player and they are very short on people as is. Might even just buy in for now and if OKC gets up early cash out at profit but we'll see. I grabbed Miami, Clippers and Celtics as well to win outright, since those rounds had good enough odds to get some money back from it.
They also added games picks as well, so i have Bucks to sweep (2.1) and Raptors to sweep (2.65) with some hedging of Raps in 5 (2.75) as well. Raps in 4 is my main bet with the hedging at 5 for me to break even if they do that. Less profit obviously but a lot less risk.
The problem with sports interaction is that it is a canadian site and as such they are usually pro Raptors, which means they are great for betting against the Raptors but when you want to bet FOR them you usually get slightly worse odds than other sites. I joined another site (bwin) to bet on MotoGP since Sportsinteraction severly sucks for that since north america doesn't really care about it, so i checked out what they have for odds. Unfortunately they don't have series wins as an option yet so im trying to get that added to see Raptors odds, but they do have something else interesting called 'price boost' and is a special section for some random bets to make. In this case they have Raptors and Bucks both sweeping at 4.4 to 1 odds, which i think is pretty damn good odds so i put 20USD on that.
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Post by haisan on Aug 17, 2020 10:05:05 GMT -5
If I were to gamble, I'd probably put $100 on Orlando to upset the Bucks. Just because I could stand to lose $100, but the payoff should something bizarre happen, would be insane.
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