|
Post by scully19 on Jun 23, 2021 12:42:13 GMT -5
I would imagine it would be canceled by now if it were going to be. Time will tell still but that was a hell of a find for sure.
|
|
|
Post by sutureself on Jun 24, 2021 23:09:02 GMT -5
LET'S GO CLIPS. Rooting hard for that Clippers/Hawks payday
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Jun 30, 2021 22:28:07 GMT -5
Looks like no Clippers in the finals to make the massive amount. Still have the Hawks very much alive though to still make a large amount.
|
|
|
Post by sutureself on Jul 3, 2021 22:04:59 GMT -5
Boo. Stupid Hawks. Oh well, was fun to dream. My scheme looks a lot less impressive now.
Edit: on the plus side I did get all the payouts, meaning I still made money in the end and proved it was impossible to lose money with this parlay structure. So I'll try to see if any other exploitable parlays ever show up on sportsinteraction
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Jul 4, 2021 12:48:23 GMT -5
Your scheme is actually brilliant, don't discount it because it didn't have a huge payout. I was thinking of pulling everything out because I don't always follow enough anymore to make more bets but frankly will likely stay in just because of this. It's basically a can't miss that if set up right can earn you money regardless of the setup with potential to earn massive returns of even 1 of the teams upset. I'll be adding this as a staple play every year now.
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Aug 11, 2021 11:23:39 GMT -5
Some early bets with a homer mix.
OG has odds of most improved of 66 to 1 so I put a small amount on him. I'm guessing anyone voting for him didn't pay much attention to end of last year Raptors and with Siakam likely out a bit he might get more opportunity early. Don't exactly think he's going to win but it's better than that.
Other than that I went in on Brooklyn to win the East and the championship since they seem like the most likely, odds agree here so not great payout for this early a move but I'm ok with that.
|
|
|
Post by sutureself on Aug 11, 2021 23:53:07 GMT -5
I like that OG bet. MIP is a crapshoot but the longshot odds at least make it fun. I put $5 on OG and $5 on Lu Dort at 81-1 to win MIP.
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Aug 24, 2021 17:42:11 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Sept 2, 2021 12:57:28 GMT -5
Over/Under is up now. Haven't gone too deep yet but put money right away on Raptors Over 35.5. Odds are down to 1.67 so maybe it moves the line and rebalances the odds but this seems to me like a good bet right now.
Also quick look says Utah Jazz is a great bet. They won 52 games last year and their over/under is 51.5. So they have 10 more games this year to win the same amount of games and are doing it where the top of the West is worse (Clippers, Nuggets). Seems like this should be an easy win to me?
|
|
|
Post by sutureself on Sept 2, 2021 23:49:02 GMT -5
Those are both good bets but 1.67 just doesn't feel like enough payout. If I could do a parlay and string a few of those gimmes together I'd do it, but no dice.
I decided to do Wizards under 33.5 just because for some reason odds are heavily favouring the over. I could easily see Beal finally getting disgruntled and getting traded to a contender, and the team tanking for a high draft pick.
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Sept 3, 2021 7:33:53 GMT -5
Those are both good bets but 1.67 just doesn't feel like enough payout. If I could do a parlay and string a few of those gimmes together I'd do it, but no dice. I decided to do Wizards under 33.5 just because for some reason odds are heavily favouring the over. I could easily see Beal finally getting disgruntled and getting traded to a contender, and the team tanking for a high draft pick. Ya I put a bit on Raptors for over now but I'm waiting for the line to shift to 36.5 and then I'll do more for more payout. I was looking at the wizards too, I don't see how a bunch of mediocre role players are really going to move the needle so much for them. I also really like Phoenix at the over too, same thing as Utah as they didn't get worse and as a team probably got better after really learning how to play within themselves and they had 51 wins last year so getting to 52 with 10 more games seems like a good shot. I also took the Nets, Knicks, Lakers on the over and the Spurs on the under. Don't feel as strongly as Utah/Suns/Raps but i like these as well. Last year was a bad one for the Lakers and i think they want to finish first to get an easier schedule and now with Russ they won't be so hampered without one of LeBron or AD. Nets look like they are going to rip the league apart, now getting guys like Lamarcus and Millsap as your end of rotation guys to go with the top end talent and it seems so unlikely they struggle and the league routinely has teams hitting 60 wins so it seems like these guys are the best bet to me for 56.5 over.. Knicks won 46.6 games last year adjusted to 82 games and the line is 41.5 and they not only brought back everyone but added Kemba (for whatever he can bring he'll be a positive when he can play) and Evan Fornier. Feels like they improved but the line went down for some reason. Spurs look like they are finally giving up winning to embrace youth and i think will end up losing a lot of games, so under 28.5 for me. Those are all my current bets for over/under. I also went at a few make the playoff options. Under yes i got Hawks (1.17), Warriors (1.13), Raptors (3.55 at the time but much lower now), Bulls (1.56). Under No i took a swing on the Clippers (3.75) and Pacers (2.25) with the Wizards not a swing (1.2). Most improved I have OG at 121 to 1!. I put 10 bucks on him and will make 1210 if he actually wins....come on OG! I don't necessarily think he is going to win it but those odds are way too low. His odds are now currently at 23 to 1 lol. Things I'm still looking at and thinking about: Heat at 48.5, they got 45.6 wins last year adjusted and really had a terrible start to the year having the go back way too quickly after going to the finals. There was a podcast with Nuggets coach that he said Brad Stevens called him after they made it to round 2 in the playoffs and congratulated him on making it the 2nd round and being the only team that made it to the conference finals in the bubble to go that far. So to me all the 4 teams that got hammered last year from the schedule (Lakers/Heat/Nuggets/Celtics) are looking for potentially good bets to outperform last years numbers. I don't like the Celtics bet as much though because they got put at 45.5 with a 41 adjust from last year and i don't think they had a good off season. Nuggets have a problem with having no Murray so I'm avoiding them too but I like Lakers and Heat. Plus I'm cheering for Lowry so over is a nice place to be. Pacers on the under. I don't know why i don't really believe in them, they got Rick Carlisle in and Caris Lavert healthy, won 38.7 adjusted last year and have 42.5 line and it seems like they had a bad year last year of injuries. It seems like they should be an over and I'm feeling under. Prob means I'll end up avoiding. Bulls over 42.5. They got 35.3 wins last year adjusted but they likely would have been close if not above 500 before COVID hit them. Then they went and improved further this year. They basically got a bunch of good regular season guys in Vuc for the full season and DeRozan that bring wins in the regular season and maybe not playoffs, and then also Lonzo Ball and Caruso that can bring some wins too. Lost really only Thaddeus Young. I'm prob go in on the over here. Defensively they suck and will really struggle in the playoffs I'm guessing, but regular season they should be able to get above 500 pretty easy. Magic on the under, seems like they will try to lose. 23.9 wins last year at a 22.5 line but they are finally giving in to losing now and traded a lot of wins away in Vuc, will probably do more through the year and move guys like Ross and whoever else is letting them win too much. Pistons under as well. Won 22.7 on a 24.5 line. They got Cade but the rest of the team i read and just don't know anyone. Seems like they will try to lose one more year and then try to win the year after. Cavs over 26.5. This one I don't feel confident about. I like their players in general but they all seem way too big and can't all play. Mobley is great, Allen is great, Rubio is nice, Markennen could be a nice piece, they have sexland that should improve again. They seem decent, but I'm not convinced can play together so I'll prob avoid. Charlotte under 38.5. 37.5 last year and I have no confidence in them winning as they seem to be going younger again and I think they will skew young and lose more, especially if they are not in the playoff hunt early. Dallas under 48.5. Were at 47.8 last year, but if Luka missed any time they are done, they have no creation at all without him. Dragic anyone? Wizards on the under as you said. Pelicans under 39.5. They were at 35.3 last year and everything they did was stupid this off season it seems. So much relies on Zion here and I am in constant fear of him getting hurt, he just seems like one of those guys too big for a human body that things will happen and when they do these guys have nothing else. Also again they have a big C (who i love) in JV and that is going get int he way of Zion again too. Graham doesn't seem like a creator for the lineup either. Whole lot of meh. Kings on the over 36.5. I know, Kings over is crazy, won 35.3 last year but they are young and should improve. They brought back who they needed and with Davion, while a weird pick with Tyrese and Fox in front of him, he looks like he can contribute right away. Wolves on the under 34.5. They got 26.1 last year and people keep on believing in the Wolves and I never can. They're garbage. KAT is good offensively but bad defensively, Russell is just bad (108 ORTG, 117 DRTG is horrible for a max guy). The only thing holding me back here is that there's a small chance they might actually move Russell for Simmons and that would get them a lot of wins and Philly would be insane to do it. Funny this seems it would happen against the Wolves' will as they don't want to move Russell but if they did i would be a HARD over. Rockets under 27.5. They are youth movement with too many quality teams now, they won 19.3 last year and people are way too hype on Green carrying them to a lot of wins. Green is not Durant and Durant didn't have such a huge effect on his first year. I'll prob hit this under. Avoids: Philly and Blazers for trade potential clouds, Nuggets and Clippers for injuries. Thunder because they can easily win more than 23.5 (had 25 last year) but they are also ready to shutdown anyone to keep losing so could go any way.
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Oct 4, 2021 8:43:19 GMT -5
Betting on a pre season game night be a bit stupid but Embiid is out for tonight's game and Philly is still a favorite to win as of right now. I'm thinking Toronto kills them.
|
|
|
Post by sutureself on Oct 23, 2021 3:18:55 GMT -5
Put some money on Scottie Barnes to win rookie of the year. Total homer pick and probably not super likely but it's almost 9 to 1 payout and feels good to root for, so figured why not
|
|
|
Post by sutureself on Oct 29, 2021 22:37:34 GMT -5
So far my Wizards under 33 wins bet is looking pretty bad. I guess I should have factored in that trading Westbrook is automatic addition by subtraction. It's still super early in the season but it's pretty funny how Russ going from Wizards to Lakers instantly made Wizards look decent and Lakers look like a trashfire.
|
|
|
Post by haisan on Oct 29, 2021 22:48:30 GMT -5
Put some money on Scottie Barnes to win rookie of the year. Total homer pick and probably not super likely but it's almost 9 to 1 payout and feels good to root for, so figured why not This is starting to look like a bet with some potential. Yay, homerism.
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Oct 30, 2021 7:12:34 GMT -5
So far my Wizards under 33 wins bet is looking pretty bad. I guess I should have factored in that trading Westbrook is automatic addition by subtraction. It's still super early in the season but it's pretty funny how Russ going from Wizards to Lakers instantly made Wizards look decent and Lakers look like a trashfire. I didn't factor in enough Westbrook issues for both teams either. I had the nagging thought in my head to bet against the Lakers but got way too many people saying they're the favorites in the West for me to stick with it. Wizards are still early and got lucky with who they played to start the year. I don't expect them to be much later in the year still.
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Nov 2, 2021 7:38:43 GMT -5
More homer bets available. Raptors are 50 to 1 to win the Atlantic. Seems pretty unlikely obviously but they are currently 2nd behind the Knicks. We all expect the Nets to get going again but if Kyrie stays out and they have any other injury concerns they could be in for a rough season.
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Feb 9, 2022 8:49:03 GMT -5
Just used the 21+ and the empty teams of the Nets and Pacers to make 260 yesterday betting only like 20 bucks thanks to really good odds and parlay. Both teams were up by 21 at the half which pays out very well at 13 to 1 odds roughly and I parlayed them both to 149 to 1 and bet 1 dollar to win. Then they won the game by that much each so I hit again with lower odds. Anyways this type of betting seems to be really useful and has big money available. Besides this game I noticed the Nuggets game and I believe Lakers/bucks both hit 21 point lead at the half and so both paid out. I'm not saying bet every game but when you see these lobsided rosters I go after it. Could be more severely depleted teams after some trades coming up.
|
|
|
Post by sutureself on Feb 10, 2022 14:14:18 GMT -5
Just used the 21+ and the empty teams of the Nets and Pacers to make 260 yesterday betting only like 20 bucks thanks to really good odds and parlay. Both teams were up by 21 at the half which pays out very well at 13 to 1 odds roughly and I parlayed them both to 149 to 1 and bet 1 dollar to win. Then they won the game by that much each so I hit again with lower odds. Anyways this type of betting seems to be really useful and has big money available. Besides this game I noticed the Nuggets game and I believe Lakers/bucks both hit 21 point lead at the half and so both paid out. I'm not saying bet every game but when you see these lobsided rosters I go after it. Could be more severely depleted teams after some trades coming up. Nice! I’m out of cash in my account right now because I had a recent NFL parlay where everything hit except for Chiefs moneyline over the Bengals so I’m out of cash until they give Jamarr Chase rookie of the year, which is looking extremely likely to win me a couple hundred bucks
|
|
|
Post by sutureself on Feb 10, 2022 21:24:03 GMT -5
Just used the 21+ and the empty teams of the Nets and Pacers to make 260 yesterday betting only like 20 bucks thanks to really good odds and parlay. Both teams were up by 21 at the half which pays out very well at 13 to 1 odds roughly and I parlayed them both to 149 to 1 and bet 1 dollar to win. Then they won the game by that much each so I hit again with lower odds. Anyways this type of betting seems to be really useful and has big money available. Besides this game I noticed the Nuggets game and I believe Lakers/bucks both hit 21 point lead at the half and so both paid out. I'm not saying bet every game but when you see these lobsided rosters I go after it. Could be more severely depleted teams after some trades coming up. Nice! I’m out of cash in my account right now because I had a recent NFL parlay where everything hit except for Chiefs moneyline over the Bengals so I’m out of cash until they give Jamarr Chase rookie of the year, which is looking extremely likely to win me a couple hundred bucks Apparently Chase won ROY five days ago so I’m kind of annoyed sportsinteraction hasn’t paid out my future yet, looking forward to losing that money on some nba games haha
|
|
|
Post by sutureself on Mar 29, 2022 23:59:04 GMT -5
I need the stupid Wizards to finish the season with no more than 1 win in the last 7 games in order to cash my season long predication they'd finish under 33.5 wins. I feel in general they've been bad all season but they've managed to be just competent enough they might get 34 or 35 wins, which is a kick in the teeth.
Last 7 games: Magic? The sad thing is they'll probably beat the Magic who suck even worse and are in full tank mode Mavs? should lose Celtics? should lose Timberwolves? should lose Hawks? should lose but you never know Knicks? should lose but you never know Hornets? should lose but you never know
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Mar 30, 2022 7:42:26 GMT -5
Wizards just got lucky early in the year for a really easy schedule and playing against good teams that have missing players or aren't connected yet early (like the Raps).
I have a bunch of bets going on still for over under and i started out better but some of the teams have faded so i'm going to finish somewhere around even.
Heat need 1 more win, Bulls got it, Raps got it, Jazz need 7 wins so doubtful now, Suns smashed it, Pelicans and Houston for unders are pretty safe too unless they got on a large streak. Lost Nets, Knicks (ug), Lakers (double ug, got convinced by listening to Lowe about Lakers wanted to bet against), lost Spurs.
If Jazz don't hit I'll finish 6-5 but Houston is a double bet compared to the rest so i'll be just above even considering odds/payout.
I actually started jumping on your Scottie Barnes for ROY bandwagon, he was still a large underdog to Mobley and he shouldn't be anymore, mobley was like 1.1 odds and scottie was 4 so i dumped 25 on him.
My big bet at the start of the year was Raps making the playoffs, odds makers had them at 3.55 to 1 to NOT make it, so i took the yes and heavy with 100 put just on that. Need these guys to keep this up.
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Apr 12, 2022 11:14:26 GMT -5
Betting opened up and I always like at this point to look at the series and predict in what game the series will end and generally skew to go after ones that I think are doing to be sweeps. Bet to make money on the sweep then hedge to break even if it goes 5. Generally this has worked out well for me.
The biggest series I'm looking at right away with Bucks vs Bulls. The Bulls are playing terrible with no hope of defending Giannis, but the biggest issue I see here is the same thing I thought at the start of the season and took the over and won with them. This is a regular season team. Vuc is the ultimate definition of a regular season player, he can put up nice stats and you feel good about having him, but in the playoffs when you attack liabilities he always gets exposed and hammered. The Bucks are going to eat him for lunch. To lesser extent I think DeRozan qualifies as a regular season player as well, I blame a lot of his Toronto issues on Casey as the coach but DeMar gets some of it.
Betting the sweep right now pays 4 to 1, betting bucks in 5 is 2.79. you could just split your bets 50 50 and you'll make money, this is not going to 6 games. Feels like easy money to me.
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on Apr 24, 2022 8:55:23 GMT -5
So, this playoffs has not gone according to schedule at all. Looks like I'm needing some help here or I could be using a fair amount of money in round 1. Namely the Bucks and Suns can't lose again, and both lost pretty key players. Not feeling great about my chances here.
|
|
|
Post by sutureself on May 13, 2022 1:07:57 GMT -5
I bet a series of parlays, now basically if Bucks win their series and Mavs lose I'll win a small amount (about $20), if Bucks and Mavs win I'll win about $400. If I had the courage to put it all on Bucks/Mavs/Heat I could've had a chance to win a lot more but I chickened out and put enough failsafes in that I'd still cover + small profit as long as Heat and Bucks won.
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on May 13, 2022 7:52:08 GMT -5
Smarter way to play. I'm likely to lose because I didn't play smart.
|
|
|
Post by sutureself on May 15, 2022 21:16:34 GMT -5
Well at least the Mavs pulled it out. No big payday but I made more money this way than if Bucks advanced and Mavs lost. I guess it's good I didn't lose money but pretty small potatoes compared to if Bucks/Mavs/Heat hit
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on May 16, 2022 7:26:54 GMT -5
So now it's time to see if we can do the finals parlay again...
|
|
|
Post by sutureself on May 16, 2022 16:12:49 GMT -5
So now it's time to see if we can do the finals parlay again... Sadly no they've fixed the way the site handles parlays and we can't cheese it anymore. I'm finding more and more often it won't let me do parlays even on bets where it seems like I should be able to
|
|
|
Post by scully19 on May 17, 2022 9:05:55 GMT -5
So now it's time to see if we can do the finals parlay again... Sadly no they've fixed the way the site handles parlays and we can't cheese it anymore. I'm finding more and more often it won't let me do parlays even on bets where it seems like I should be able to ya agreed, like the same game should be able to do different parlay in the same game. Why the hell not?
|
|